Jack In The Stock Performance
| JACK Stock | USD 16.92 0.36 2.08% |
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 2.24, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Jack In will likely underperform. At this point, Jack In has a negative expected return of -0.12%. Please make sure to check out Jack In's treynor ratio, expected short fall, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside , to decide if Jack In performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Jack In The has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest weak performance, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain persistent and the latest mess on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-standing gains for the company institutional investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (2.08) | Five Day Return 0.83 | Year To Date Return (9.62) | Ten Year Return (75.39) | All Time Return 120.03 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.104 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 1.76 | Dividend Date 2025-04-08 |
1 | Acquisition by Dawn Hooper of 21647 shares of Jack In subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/10/2025 |
2 | Disposition of 177 shares by Richard Cook of Jack In at 20.27 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/17/2025 |
3 | Disposition of 200 shares by Smolinisky Alan of Jack In at 22.5 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/19/2025 |
4 | Jack in the Box to Divest Del Taco, RBC Capital Raises Price Target | 12/23/2025 |
5 | Jack in the Box Nasdaq Futures Spotlight on QSR brands | 01/21/2026 |
6 | Disposition of 1472 shares by Tucker Lance F. of Jack In at 21.83 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/28/2026 |
7 | Insider Trading | 01/30/2026 |
8 | Jack in the Box Inc. Reiterates Confidence in JACK on Track Plan and Commitment to Maximizing Shareholder Value | 02/05/2026 |
9 | Biglari Capital Urges All Jack in the Box Shareholders to Vote AGAINST Chairman David Goebel at Upcoming Annual Meeting | 02/10/2026 |
10 | Jack in the Box Reports Earnings Tomorrow What To Expect | 02/17/2026 |
11 | Jack in the Box Misses Q4 CY2025 Sales Expectations | 02/18/2026 |
12 | Jack In The Box Inc Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights Navigating Challenges with ... | 02/19/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 54.2 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -74.7 M |
Jack In Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,932 in Jack In The on December 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (240.00) from holding Jack In The or give up 12.42% of portfolio value over 90 days. Jack In The is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.2375% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 38% of stocks are less volatile than Jack, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Jack In Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Jack Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 16.92 | 90 days | 16.92 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jack In to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Jack In The probability density function shows the probability of Jack Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Jack In Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jack In
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jack In. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jack In's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Jack In Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jack In is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jack In's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jack In The, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jack In within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Jack In Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jack In for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jack In can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jack In generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Jack In has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Jack In The currently holds 3.12 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 44.84, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Jack In has a current ratio of 0.43, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Jack In's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 1.47 B. Net Loss for the year was (80.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 397.5 M. | |
| Over 91.0% of Jack In shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Jack In The Box Inc Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights Navigating Challenges with ... |
Jack In Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jack Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jack In's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jack In's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 51.5 M |
Jack In Fundamentals Growth
Jack Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Jack In, and Jack In fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Jack Stock performance.
| Return On Asset | 0.0458 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.08) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.14 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 2.88 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 19.04 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 12.59 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.22 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.47 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 397.5 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 36.19 M | ||||
| Net Income | (80.72 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 65.86 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 3.13 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 3.12 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 44.84 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.44 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (49.19) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 162.36 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (4.24) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 323.23 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 2.59 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 1.77 B | ||||
| Working Capital | (210.25 M) | ||||
| Current Asset | 155.41 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 279.56 M | ||||
About Jack In Performance
By examining Jack In's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Jack In's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Jack In is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 1.29 | 1.23 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.02) | (0.02) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.04 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Assets | (0.01) | (0.01) | |
| Return On Equity | 0.04 | 0.04 |
Things to note about Jack In performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jack In for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Jack In help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jack In generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Jack In has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Jack In The currently holds 3.12 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 44.84, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Jack In has a current ratio of 0.43, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Jack In's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 1.47 B. Net Loss for the year was (80.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 397.5 M. | |
| Over 91.0% of Jack In shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Jack In The Box Inc Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights Navigating Challenges with ... |
- Analyzing Jack In's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Jack In's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Jack In's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Jack In's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Jack In's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Jack In's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Jack In's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Jack In The. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jack In. Expected growth trajectory for Jack significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Jack In assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.74) | Dividend Share 0.44 | Earnings Share (4.24) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
Understanding Jack In requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Jack's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Jack In's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Jack In's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Jack In's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Jack In represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Jack In's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.